Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.016286 0.020355 0.025691 0.033424 0.044762 0.061518 0.089793
2025-01-19 0.011999 0.016568 0.023530 0.035714 0.058592 0.105577 0.234006
2025-01-26 0.010149 0.014986 0.023174 0.039726 0.078144 0.188030 0.758757
2025-02-02 0.008955 0.013919 0.023053 0.043904 0.102896 0.346301 4.048888
2025-02-09 0.007734 0.012428 0.021556 0.044247 0.118899 0.547704 44.978352
2025-02-16 0.006836 0.011293 0.020373 0.044698 0.136962 0.903837 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006111 0.010325 0.019248 0.044733 0.154832 1.530124 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005380 0.009209 0.017506 0.042144 0.157819 2.126301 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004857 0.008431 0.016368 0.040964 0.167998 3.457522 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004521 0.007986 0.015921 0.041896 0.194596 8.495267 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004203 0.007531 0.015346 0.042143 0.219035 25.504395 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003836 0.006920 0.014255 0.039996 0.220551 53.740048 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003507 0.006399 0.013421 0.039046 0.238927 585.550952 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003336 0.006212 0.013459 0.041884 0.315954 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003235 0.006166 0.013880 0.046903 0.472356 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003135 0.006105 0.014243 0.052178 0.729516 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002944 0.005795 0.013767 0.052613 0.892977 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002778 0.005523 0.013351 0.053185 1.112095 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002621 0.005255 0.012892 0.053230 1.355736 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002429 0.004880 0.012008 0.049950 1.328003 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002284 0.004607 0.011427 0.048462 1.447788 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002189 0.004457 0.011235 0.049637 1.936733 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002091 0.004288 0.010945 0.049949 2.466986 NaN NaN